Sunday, September 13, 2009

weekend wrap up eco cal what to do tonight

The new week is in front of us and talk of the exit strategy and Stiglitz and Rogers and even Roubini's seem to have the futures running for the exits.

 I sold at 68.8 and it is now 68.2 I am moving my stop to 69 
Things do not look good but you may get another pop where you could sell where I did and it would be hard for me to tell you to sell here.
I am also long the ng contract at 2.98 but not sure I will hold onto to even that if futures keep getting pounded.
here is the ecocal
22:45NZDRetail Sales M/M Jul0.40%0.10%
22:45NZDRetail Sales Ex-Auto M/M Jul0.50%-0.40%
04:30JPYIndustrial Production M/M Jul F1.90%1.90%
04:30JPYIndustrial Production Y/Y Jul F-22.90%-22.90%
07:15CHFCombined PPI M/M Aug0.10%0.00%
07:15CHFCombined PPI Y/Y Aug-5.40%-6.10%
09:00EUREurozone Employment Q/Q Q2---0.80%
09:00EUREurozone Industrial Production M/M Jul-0.20%-0.60%
09:00EUREurozone Industrial Production Y/Y Jul-16.70%-17.00%
12:30CADCapacity Utilization Rate Q265.50%69.30%
12:35USDFed's Duke Speaks to CPA Conference in Washington----
16:30USDFed's Lacker Speaks on Financial Regulation in Charlotte----
19:50USDFed's Yellen Speaks on Economic Outlook----
 
Things are a little dismal staring in Australia and Japan 

On Friday we wish we were bearish in Oil and we told you to buy dips in gas 
i wish we would have stuck with ur original diagnosis of a rollover and a short squeeze in gas as it collapsed from 3.4x to 2.92  We did recoup a little trading back and forth between the 50%retracement and 3 at te end of Friday's trade
I suffered two bad stops in natty prematurely bottom picking but I was short oil in several spots and only took one stop out on a 70 buy versus several short and cover plays.


Again im bearish and short I did not think it would fall out of bed quite so fast I think you may get one more chance to short higher maybe near my stop I do not plan to scalp this tonight.
My target is 67 I will look to see if anything changes my stance and will post but for now 
still bearish oil and cautiously bullish in gas