Friday, May 22, 2009

End of the Week-Memorial Day Weekend - Drive safely


We had another nice week members I shot myself in the foot straying from the game plan 
And bought prematurely at 61.10 after selling the overnight play for a profit. All is well as  I re-entered on the bottom that we targeted from earlier in the morning.We had it pinned cold.
Slightly bullish shade and Our very own charting style  identifying the buy entry spot  at 60.5 which was indeed the low today. Last nights overnight play was strong as well and if it were not profit taking weekend I believe with the currencies continuing their domestic abuse of the dollar we would have seen the sell entry at 62.5. We are flat now back in a three fairly strong calls in a row and feeling the confidence in my work return. There is a mission here as well to help others be successful to help them avoid the thousand mistakes that are made that prevent traders from turning a profit. In that altruistic pursuit I hope today this week I again made in roads.  My goal is consistency to be able to call oil trading I think of the weekly goal 
as sort of a gross salary that can be counted on ad infinitum. There are some traders making much more money and according to the so-called stats 90 % of the traders who do not make anything at all but if you follow me you will see my ranges are incredibly close day in and day out and more than occasionally like today dead on. The information garnered from this site the last three days would have made the most novice of traders money.
 Everybody have a great weekend. I am glad to see some of the members made an effort and commented yesterday I encourage much much more of that. Globex is unaffected by the Memorial day holiday so we will see you Sunday Night. 

We understand Paypal was not working for the last few days so anyone who might have tried to join should try again. There are three spots left and then we will go to delay as we cannot direct
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Oil trading

I am not a webmaster this is a trading site not a video game we are here to make money and that is what I do and have done for years. I am also not Mavis Beacon so pardon the typos. For members only: Exclusive price entry points are emailed at least once daily (no other analyst or writer or economist will do this they will tell you they are bullish or bearish and give out some random prices - I tell you exactly where and when to buy or sell and also do the trade myself)when the landscape changes and it can turn on a dime I will post again so it is important to have the feed linked to your start page could be yahoo twitter etc I have this set to constant update because this material is time sensitive If you need further verification I gave out free price entries for the month of March in real time you would have made $16000 I utilize my twenty plus years trading experience give you tips on where to invest the money that we make and generally walk you through and teach you how to trade oil futures. Ask anyone! Most new traders lose their entire accounts on their first try trading this vehicle-I believe I can change that trend-If you do exactly what I do pay attention to what I am showing you and use stops to force disciplined profit taking and risk limitation. The most we ever lose is $250 that rarely happens. We find precise entry points and adjust stops to break even as soon as it moves in our favor. Further as it moves in our direction we keep stops adjusting to protect profits while allowing the"home run" to occur as oil frequently moves for points in nearly one direction often. This is what I do- I watch the markets almost every moment I can oil is traded 23 hours a day we frequently trade the overnight because many nights it moves more than a point but we will have our stop adjusted so if we do sleep we are risk limited or profit protected. This can be a stressful business if you let it-once you begin to get ahead by a reasonable margin you understand that losses are part of the game but we never ever lose more than $250 and we typically win a lot more than that. Today is an off day and Members are up $350 here bringing the weekly total to $4100 this is a consistent number you must have a trading account if you need help setting up your futures account email me at chrgr06@yahoo.com and I will direct you to the people I use $3.75 per contract to trade oil $8100 is the minimum you need to have in your account to trade oil but I trade with 25000 and implore you to trade with the same amount it allows you to day trade equities as well if you maintain this amount in your account.





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Holiday Market-

Not much to go on we may even see some profit taking and pullback as the Holiday weekend looms. This GM story has a bad taste but I really don't expect much today like yesterday
I bought the re-open last night as all my readers should know as I urged everyone else to as well. We could have sold at 61.82 and if I was awake when It hit there I might have. 
 Market liquidity can come into question as there will  be traders who took  the weekend early.
So if we get a dip and all else remains constant I will buy lower. Koyeshna(that is russian for of course)since I am long if we get a pop I will sell as well let us hope for the latter.
Other than that this is really a non-event I'm afraid 


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Thursday, May 21, 2009

61.45 overnight last trade

The chart on the left is a 3minute rendition which shows you had more than one chance to buy the low on the re-opening

The second overnight play looks good as we bought the re-opening at 61.05 It hung out there 
for a bit and at 61.26 even longer so there is really no excuse for not trading this. 
We move stop to 61.26 locking in $200 as the last trade on the Globex is 61.45
You could have just moved the stop to break even but I may attach a trailing stop 
on his one say 37 cents so I don't get stopped pematurely-currncies looks good except for the greenback and Oil hung tough like Raging bull even Sugar Ray Robinson couldn't knock him down. We have as a membership re-embraced the new bull market for Oil-This like last night is a risk-free profit guaranteeing play with very little stress and I urge my membership to take like an hour usually after the re-opening set up the position adjust the stop and go about your business-Many times if you don't position the overnight you have already missed the bulk of the move.

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Secondary Account Notes /last trade in CL july 61.25

I know that I have been telling anyone who will listen to take some of the profits we are making and start accumulating equities for Long term. Yesterday I sold my stake in US steel at 32
If you remember I also said it is okay to sell a little when they scream for it. When it seems like everyone in the world wants it and it will never go down again if you are long especially from prices ranging between 17-25.5 Go ahead and sell. I want to own this stock and when it gets back to 27 I will in the meantime even without transferring more Oil money I will be able to buy more shares should that happen. It dropped to 29.70 already today alone. I was chomping at the bit to buy it back but I'm gonna wait-It has made several trips between 25.87 and 32.5
This is the first time I lightened up.

 We are up $2oo on the overnight play so far but we are gonna risk it with stop 1penny over break even at 61.06(cover commissions as well you know)



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Thursday long one contract at 61.05 stop in place 61.05

I'm long now and wish I would have bought a little lower. Buy the dips is in full effect here
My pricing today in retrospect might seem too safe but Low 59.xx when the market got its teeth kicked in is really not that conservative a call!-We have seem oil move 5% to 7% on numerous occasions so it really is a testament to the strength of this commodity that it hung in there so tough. It was probably wishful thinking as I hoped I could get long down there. Anybody that reads me knows that I have been shouting from the roof-tops that Oil is going up we have just been working on the when part. 
I hope more of my membership joins me on these overnight odysseys of mine. Oil is less frantic and more predictable at night more deliberate way easier to get a break even stop in place. So I ask my membership- Why not join me more often? You could already be stopped out not worry go home eat dinner and wake up tomorrow stop adjusting the profits or just flat waiting for the A.M. play. I  encourage some comments from the membership on this point-so just click below this posting so other people can get your take on this. We are a small but I think eclectic an intelligent group and if more people gave their input I think we all could benefit.





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overnight action pending

Not much happened today  but you had to be impressed with the way crude hung in there today we are long one contract here but will stop adjust top even asap as per usual
I bought the opening I may get stopped out but moved stop up to break even we may enter again if that happens. NZD and AUD start off with a bang-we made good money on the overnight play- Stick with us you barely risk anything on these plays and several days wake up to a thousand or more extra in your account.




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Weekly goal Met-Overnight action nets $900

I sold the overnight at 61.68 Globex got as high as 61.87 but no stop out as we awoke to an extra $900 as the current price is $60.82 I covered a tad lower than that and  that puts us over the hump and officially have reached our weekly profit goal for the tenth straight week. This one did not come as easy if do not count last night's overnight win which was its first real score in 4 overnight sessions. as always once our number has been hit I trade a little defensively letting the market come to me on either side. 



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Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Rally GBP recent chart on left of british pound


If the sterling and the Euro keep beating up on the Dollar You can bet oil will go up to the 63 target everyone keeps predicting may be higher we will keep an eye as it develops
15750.5 last in the GBP vs USD  We were stopped out unchanged Sold once more at 61.68
this currency rally  keeps up we may reverse so keep your eyes posted I will be watching until at least midnight.






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We 61.64 sold move stop break even

I know its 12 cents but I am not up for giving even a nickel back this has been a hard fought week and we are well on our way to our goal with today's score once again and we will move stop to profit target of a half point as soon we can dinner no risk 
curencies are inprofit taking mode s o probably is oil why not take the Half $500
is a lot of money to some folk


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Closing trade -midday Look


I  made over 1400 I hope my membership made more the chart illustrates my in and out two trades one day see you in the break!

After midnight if you read the posting I  resolves to get back to my old self the way I trade is what has made me good at this. Today I felt they tipped their hand that they were going to come in with bullish inventories and I wanted my order in before it happened but I only wanted experienced traders with me on this aggressive play.
So from now on back to basics hard nose  trading I actually had underestimated the pressure of helping othe traders trade as you start to feel responsible for them as well as yourself. Those numbers in March and April are real I am going to be myself and get back to what I do well and see what happens. The popularity of this site  Picked up rapidly almost by itself as I 
have done very little to promote except be right more than I am wrong.
We only have 4 spots left and the charter membership is closed for good. 




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Summer Drive time -the pound is at new heights Futures are up
And we have definitely not had our best week as far as overnight pricing goes
Even or running the EIA I am taking a look at the break out a July stands alone at the front of the month. Some traders should wait for a pull back I with a stop in place am going to take one  flier  at the buy side on the slightest of pull backs as long as futures and pound remain high
then next buy area low 59 Seller 62.5 Newer members should wait for EIA and enter after
Pullback to get long
the chart to the left show the are where I have taken said shot at the up side remember to always employ a stop



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Wednesday EIA

Summer Drive time -the pound is at new heights Futures are up
And we have definitely not had our best week as far as overnight pricing goes
Even or running the EIA I am taking a look at the break out a July stands alone at the front of the month. Some traders should wait for a pull back I with a stop in place am going to take one  flier  at the buy side on the slightest of pull backs as long as futures and pound remain high
then next buy area low 59 Seller 62.5 Newer members should wait for EIA and enter after
determining bullish or bearish this is an aggressive trade and most member should wait for pullback to buy 



 


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Stopped out for $250 profit

Is it time to stop fighting this? Stopped out for  $250 profit but now what as the overnight position is crushed for the third times in as many days. Legging in from the long side on dips seems to be a more profitable startegy Albeit we traded from both sides. I have been saying for weeks we are going up so it should be no surprise that we are. Going to Sell at 60.47 one more time I guess we are just going to be forced to trade. Until the picture tunes in Pound is up/Aud and NZD are down 12:19



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Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Secondary Equity Account/Currently OIL is overdue

We like Rimm we own it for the secondary account and it has exploded in all. I would add some more if it pulled back to low 60's.We also have been acquiring Citibank though we fear the glory days are behind us there definitely seems to be more room for up than down N'est Pas?

We are usually right and kind of got used to it as far as overnight pricing goes. As you know we shorted before the close of extended trading before the break. It is now 59.96 We move stop down again to protect $250 in profits-We advised a short before the close all members had the option and                                                                                                       chance to sell above 60.4x
                                                                                                           Up over $400 on that trade so far.


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We are overdue-Members were advised of short position before close

We are short -read the last line of the post before the close of the extended session after hours
we talked of a drift to the south during the overnight.  It closed at 60.49 you had plenty of time to sell and with a little finesse could have gotten a better price than me.
We did not lose but we did not participate in the bulk of the move up and we were forced 
to slug it out day trading to get our week into shape. Now we feel we are due  last trade 60.09
We have moved stop to break even including commission but we would like to see a point more
at least as we have not truly reaped the benefits of overnight action. With discipline overnight trading is much less stressful  it moves melodically more deliberately until after you are safely
asleep only to wake to a whole new scenario.


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The End of Open Outcry


When it was all said and done today our initial buy and sell entries were 59.25 on the buy side
and 60.5 on the sell. We sit here at 60.42. During the regular session we almost go to the sell spot
trading back up to 60.3x and we traded down to 59.97 We played from the short side trading often near our sell point and from the long side at 59.25 and 59. We had two stop outs today 
but made the losses back on re-entries. We could have just stuck to the original plan and it 
would have made more looking back as we were fortunate to be up  and catch the currency
rally last night and reversing the short position at 59.75 we did not sell the high at 60.99
but placed a stop at 60.5 to protect $750 in profits from that overnight adjustment.
Nobody was up trading with us we believe between 1 and 3:30 when we stop protected 
when we awoke we were indeed stopped out and the action began. Currencies  are stil sky high 
but we are carrying a short contract as we believe we will se some inventory fear manifest
as well as the housing were terrible and some of that negativity may sink in as we drift into the overnight. We are going to catch an hour or two sleep before we re-enter the fray

day trading


here is a look at some of the fast and furious action today  getting and out on a dime
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Fine tuning an entry point

Oil reached 60.99 during the overnight we would sell there absolute  I  am trading both sides today say it is hard to keep you up to date on the latest action. and scalping back and forth 
but overall think we might revisit this overnight high. I am ahead trading so I will sell 
one more time 60.5 we were fine tuning our buy entries and now doing the same from the short side.




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currencies looking too strong back off sell order reset


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currencies looking too strong back off sell order reset


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Fine tuning entry points

60.12 sale looking manageable here at 59.68 we will  take the $500 at 59.62  after this cover

Entry points on both sides 60.10 from sell side  59 from the buy







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oil breaks 60 again we resll at 60.12

We are stopped out for second time today and with last night we are still trading for a profit of well over a thousand  for the day. We re-issue sell reco at 60.5 we resold for trading purpose 
at 60.12 I do not reco this for members 


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By the time we went to make an adjustment it was higher

We posted before we made adjustment by the time we got back we were filled at 59.87
Stop in place at 60.12 assuming the same happened to our membership as the timing lines up
lots of action  form both sides of the plate  again take the half or stop adjust 
as soon as that opportunity is availed




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EIA comes back into focus

Stock piles will be the issue towards the end of the day as the EIA is once again on tap for tomorrow. The dollar has lost a little safe haven luster and spurs weakness from the banks ready to pay back the trouble asset relief
It infers that banks have enough money and there is no need to own the dolllar QED if the dollar is weak than crude is strong.  We are playing both sides in brisk trading current buy and sell points are 59 buy 59.75 sell make slight adjustments if currencies are screaming.
Members should have to been able to buy and ride that last rally up and sell for a half
Those are the standing advisements for now. 12:08





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Adjust Trading Range

Adjust our buy to 58.97 sell to 59.87 with normal stops take half points when they avail themselves to you





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Stating the obvious trade take profits back to basics

When we buy or sell and we make a half we either take the half if it is in a tight trading or move the stop to protect profits the latter will not probably work in this chop
It is  fine to take a half the system is in fact built on that principle make a half lose a quarter be right more times than you are wrong. We have already round tripped a buy at 59.25 and sell at 59.75 once today among other trades. It is even okay to take a quarter once in a while if you see the landscape change we keep a close eye on currencies and the s+p ans natural gas and the latest economic data from as many sources and subscriptions that we have at our disposal.
Today is another trading day so we trade.

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Currently trading at 59.45

we gave out early sell recommendations  at 60.5 adjusting to 60 digesting the market numbers
currencies are still a sea of blue against the red back drop of the market so we may be inclined to trade from the long side buy  here at 59.25 with a quarter stop


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Up all Night

You would have to be up in the we hours of the morning in order to sell into this recent run-up to 60.99 We reversed positions are at 59.75 and flattened out by stop some time around . I have been saying for weeks that oil would pierce 60 and it has but as far as the run to 63 I. believe we are a tad premature for that we have sent our recommendations. housing numbers were worse but the currencies have to simmer down  order for crude to really come in today

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Monday, May 18, 2009

1,2,3,4,5 legs in from the short side July contract today's trading action

We were bullish from this morning granted we were disappointed we did not stay long from 57
but we are glad we covered our short at 57.375 at that price. Coming into the AM 740ish
we had been watching currencies and decided crude was on it's way up apologies to any members that misread this mornings order as some got in some did not. After that
we flattened out on the first run over 59 and considered buying back but did not on the ensuing dip back to 58.6x We had resolved to sell near the weekly pivot as we were expecting yet another lower high so to speak and shaded it 15 cents to the south and we were promptly taken out and stopped out for a $300 loss(usually I use a quarter point stop had I made It a 35 stop 
I could have covered at 59.2X because) within minutes it dropped and re-climbed to 59.82
we sold at 57.77 and covered at 59.60 then sold at 59.90  covered that at 59.65 
and finally sold right here 59.73 we could have gotten 59.80 had we waited.









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trading this beast from the short side is tough here

With 60 at my back I have done a couple trades now sold at 59.77 covered  at 59.60
It just looks strong but could not help but sell again at 59.90 with stop up .20 cents
bidding 59.65 to get back $300 lost on earlier stop out grinding out a profit we are getting closer to the top of the range you can scalp a little in here $200's add up believe me as long as we are sitting here 

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Get a Little give a Little

We got stopped on our first sale entry of the day as it barely hits up .30 cents and activates us.,
Since Sunday night We are now up $1400 after the loss. This is part of the game and I not even the least bit upset I have analyzed what happened and usually I would shade my offer back a bit
under such strong displays from the euro and The meekness of the Greenback. I have been shaving quarters off my entries to make sure I get in but obviously too much of a good thing.
I do not take this personally next time like a machine I will make my adjustments according
to the scenario at hand -Well on our way to our weekly goal could have sat out the rest of today
in fact but will  re-enter on the sell side Members can play along if they so choose.



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Monday 2nd Update at the opening


Early morning action was fun as we bought at 58.08 and sold at 59.12  net $1025 after commissions
Add that to last nights $735 and the week is off to a nice start and trading has just officially started. Some members were early birds and got in on the fun those that did not should stick 
to support and resistance points. There were some important points
that were outline in the weekend wrap up and if you did not read we suggest you go back when you have a moment and read 
that posting. We believe we will some of those factors come into play before weeks end. 





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Monday Morning should have started earlier




The futures are up  and Oil was moving higher before that happened buoyed by the high yield currencies
-Members were made aware of support and resistance and were made of where I traded as well. Take a look at the chart 58.20 is the pivot Point right where we are












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Sunday, May 17, 2009

Dollar rally reverse posotion

Sunday flipped at 57.375  now short based on dollar rally



Market is very predictable here. Stop guessing which direction oil is going and let me do the research for you. The daily outlook is posted premarket every trading day and identifies support and resistance and provides a daily trading bias. You can not trade crude oil with those 3 critical pieces. Without those 3 key signs you are good as flying blind. Having access to that key information is the differance between being the hunter or the hunted.

If your having trouble navigating this market becoming a member can bolster your trading and your bottom line. Uisng the paypal button above is the easiest and quickest way to become a member. If you have any questions about becoming a member drop me an email


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Sunday night Action
We get off to a start and we see we buy 57.04 last sale 57.38 Move stop to break even 
Risk and Losses should be minimized on overnight activity- It is more about positioning with not a whole lot to go with the futures down slightly and some almost non-eventful news 
We buy from a trading perspective looking for a small bounce. We would take $500 if we get it just to get tthe week off on right foot. 




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Range and De-ranged


The 47-54(occasionally shading a little higher or lower)  range lasted for some time as we have illustrated for months in fact on our longer term chart. This was a good thing. Ranges are a good friend to the trader. I cant count on both hands how many times the top of the previous range was tested only to fall back to bottom and repeat the cycle. 

Factors are starting to come together that might have us in a new range. This one on early identification appears to 54-60. Thus far we have sold at 60.03(man that one was sweet)it brushed just past that juncture and  fell and bounced and fell again. Arguments will be raised and can raise enough believability to drag oil down and push it back up within these parameters for some time to come. We will trade these ranges with impunity until proven wrong unless some real economic data tells us to do differently. 














Market is exceedingly foreseeable here. Stop guessing which direction oil is going and let me do the research for you. The daily outlook is posted premarket every trading day and identifies support and resistance and provides a daily trading bias. You can not trade crude oil with those 3 critical pieces. Without those 3 key signs you are good as flying blind. Having access to that key information is the differance between being the hunter or the hunted.

If your having trouble navigating this market becoming a member can bolster yourtrading and your bottom line. Using the paypal button above is the easiest and quickest way to become a member. If you have any questions about becoming a member drop me an email chrgr06@yahoo.com

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