Sunday Play is Coming

I assure you I am not depending on this site to make a living. There is really a higher calling here.  There are now  guys in Tuscon, Arizona and  Glendale heights Illinois  and many more that read me daily and for extended periods of time according to my analytics and I know I have given out a great deal of information for no charge to help the site get off the ground.

Money made from this site will be re-invested in the form of charting programs and information subscriptions and technology that will be used to help the group make more money and keep us on the cutting edge in every way possible. 

The site is moving to a new address and will be available with prices in real time directly on the site. Once this Site is opened It will bo longer be the same price So if anyone is thinking of joining  it would serve you better now as you lock in this price and it will never ever go up for 

you as long as you keep your subscription-I want to reward the people who joined and had faith. Even at the new prices this site will make you far more than you ever paid for the subscription.

  The Sunday play is coming and members keep an eye for the direct email I will not be posting it like I have in past weeks you have to join to get those now. Once we move to the new address

which will simply drop the blogspot and be  http://oilitradinginsider.com

Hope everyone is having a great weekend I the workaholic am going over charts and data and preparing for the open after reviewing some news subscription feeds and  making the final

choices for the new site which should be open soon.

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Weekend Trading Play

Morning Pricing/Mid-day Update/Overnight Action/ Secondary Account Notes/ Monthly Results/FAQ/Disclaimer

Week in review

We had a mixed week with moments of brilliance and lapses in concentration The overnight play

yielded some money but over all I did not execute properly and the two free shots I got off were stopped out albeit for a profit. The  day before and yesterday went beautifully as we posted within"stopping distance" of the bottom both days.

We stayed up past three trading  Wednesday and Thursday and made $560 and $360 for the effort but missed the larger opportunity both times. I think I may have worked it too closely maybe too much thought and out-foxed myself.  Read the post from the start of last nights overnight"we can't help but be bullish but we plan to sell and stop adjust"

We got caught up again in all these quarters but missed the important sense or feel of the move.  We could have and considered selling and stop adjusting in the high 72.6x area but alas did not. It has been two  solid weeks of grinding out quarters with myopic looks at short term gains and it has worked but it would have been more profitable executing the game plan and tending to the tumult of RIMM and the winning steel group we bought AKS and X big time on this dip -Goldman JPM Keybank and Citibank came out reco'ing this group and the stock went down and gave you a chance to get in thanks to all this correction fear. How often does that occur? We were telling a member that AKS when it was 17.xx-18 that 19-would be the price with even a marginal up day and we ended up with a down day but AKS did not disappoint.

They are saying that a bulge in storage was the cause of oil's "cliff jump"today but more factors were at work and now we have $70.02 the absolute fulcrum Oil has drawn a battle line 

The currencies were up and so was the market for a bit. The state unemployment figures came in and If you are not a trader chances are you are struggling still. In the real world there are

massive problems this data was not fully understood yesterday in my opinion. We have more data which might turn us up again next week. I have done some call selling at Today's high prior to the fade. 

  We will keep you posted as the data unfolds I hope everyone had a profitable week. I don't want to jinx it but there has been a lot of money made on the "Sunday Play" you gotta read and be ready to trade by 6PM to play. One member made $1900 way more than me leaving his position on until the AM. Why doesn't everyone join in this week and start the week on the good foot!

   

The new site should be ready soon I am going over some samples this weekend and hope we are set to go stay tuned for passwords and usernames. If you would like me to continue to send direct email pricing I will do this service for charter members only. From here on when the new site is up paste it to your browser and check in since the public will not be able to get in-updates and and all the extras will be available through the site directly.If anyone is considering joining I am spending money on the site and hosting and space needs and subscriptions and I really give a lot of hands on help all you need do is ask. The price will go up the second the site opens and you can no longer read the updates without being a member

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The Pin is In

Wow look at the chart Oil gets pinned almost on the nose. I haven't slept well  skulking around at 3 AM to se if I could get a clue from the German Exchange. We put out a early bid at 71 and warned everyone if it got close to check in today to make certain It still loked reasonable to buy  there and  it wasn't I issued the counter trend play and money could be made on every turn if you without fail took a profit of a quarter it would have required some trading but four were available that way I picked up three and got stopped even once. We still have not deciphered 

the pull back yet so we will review and chalk it up to quad witching the bad state unemployment numbers which killed the rally but did not warrant a 3 point drop so more was going on or manipulation was at work. 

Last night we suggested to members to set up an overnight position and stop adjust had we only just done what we planned

It was the second straight week of counter trend trading I hope to get away from that style

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unemployment udate

What prompted us to sell calls as a  blanket over each and every stock while the S+P was up this morning was what we would call a misread by the geniuses above that drive the markets.

The state number is out and it is not pretty fro a while almost every time you hear the word unemployment within a matter of days your accounts will be worth less if you do not adjust.

We adjusted and asked you to as well We own X as low as 35.5 We sold X july 37 call at 3.6

We offered more at 4 thinking we could buy more stock we like that particular buy write.

This is a decent amount of downside protection and on a pull back I will have the option to buy more which is exactly what I  hope to do I do not believe we will get a complete correction but we will definitely have our share of down days so on a 10-15% correction we buy and we sell calls on rally's on the way up for sweet juicy prices. Options vol is up and you can take in a fair amount of premium with this method . For another example We bought BAC between 11.55-12

and waited until 13.75 sold 13 and 14 calls we may assigned on those calls but at 13 we sold at the equivalent of 14.75 and we might still keep the stock cool huh?

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One more point "Expiration"

Remember today is expiration and we might see gravity attempting to pull the july contract to the 70 pin today which would close us at 70.37 or so for  August I don't believe it should be sold so vigorously and is being manipulated he market lost it's gains precipitously but the currencies are still up for the most part and this thing has indeed  fallen out of bed here 

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look at the chart

for counter trend trading standing under a landslide will bury you

but the entry is not far off 

Even if you did not finesse like i have ben telling you over and over there was more than one chance to get out for a dime profit.

Now as we have just told you we have pocketed a quarter the chart below show where it stabilized and where our second buy in at 70.71 

now we move stop to even and watch the factors closely bail for a profit if it looks like we are going under again

and do it all over again just like this if it runs well you can thank me later/. There are ways to have your second execution automatically cancel your stop should you see a reason to bail if you do not know how to do this either you better be fast or set up a half hour with me so i can bring you up to speed.

we are being extremely defensive and still picked up a quarter here. 

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the market is cracking

We got out and oil is hitting the skids but we are inclined once again to allow it to turnaround  we wait three or four steady or up pips and then leg i if the market continues to get pummeled stay out of the  way

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finessing the buy

here is a an example of finessing the buy in the contact dipped to 70.77

turned around and steadied 70.82

which would allow for a safer entry and immediately popped foe a quarter i will re-buy the next dip and pop and ride back up

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Revised entry point 70.75 buy side august cl contract

you can see this id falling like a rock always shade entry down at least a quarter when it moves like this in fact I like to see three pips go the other way before i jump on and then I  might take the first quarter of half of profits before re-positioning because we usually get more than one dip before it goes.

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trading range good check in before you trade

I have been trading buying at 72.0x selling 72.3x If you are considering generating capital through this method check in by email before as these ranges are not bottom calls 

stay quick o the trigger and pick up the quarters they leave on the table positioning remains on the wider entries

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Geopolitical Risk-Witchmaniupulation

Oh my gosh -I hearing the phrase "inflation fears" wow that was fast.

Some people will tell you to stay completely out the game today as rollovers from expiration will befuddle pricing models and take out stops faster than a speeding car that cuts a street corner too tightly.  I say if you are a trader do not stand in front of that "drunken Bus driver"

but after an extreme move in either direction opportunity obviously lurks. 

There are some events could change the game I am trying to look into it but Bloomberg has reported a pipeline in Nigeria has been  exploded-The Iranian situation could also destabilize the region and cause a huge spike in Oil prices don't go run out and buy 

just be aware the rules can and will change at any moment and what we consider

expensive today could look like a steal tomorrow.

Secondary Account Advisement

Sell calls against long stock in the new  front month(not june) to take in premium and higher volatility has burgeoned prices Im not trying to lose the stock so a guide for pricing would be 10% of the price of underlying this would protect against a probable pullback.

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Witcharama-move to august contract

We will be out with member pricing shortly

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Secondary Account Notes /Research In Motion

APtly named this one was on the move in extended trading.

Rimm earnings came out after the close this chart is not a misfeed

Rimm broke into then 71.xx

area and blew back up to 76

One member who I know trades

I shot an email to and we both like chickens bought only 5oo shares

on the dip we both ironically got 72.

That was a $2000 repayment from

blackberry to me  for what I have dumped into Smart phones just over the past couple years. You have to go back to my march RIMM play to get past even.   

I am not gonna try and dazzle you with the numbers but I will tell you this sell off was a chance to get in and without a major correction it is not likely you will ever see these prices again.

The earnings were not what they expected but they were pretty good. Are these analysts living 

on the same planet it is a recession even though I believe we are at the end of it.

The market is a forward looking indicator and Rimm should be no exception to this end.

Rimm subscribership is up that is a positive fact for the future and they made money a nice reflection on the past they are doing a nice job in a very tough economic climate no matter Apple pulled a fast one here and I kind of fell for it the new 3gs is really not much different than the old 3g but the re-release so to speak garners the imagination of the people who must have the very latest smart phone. I wish I would have gotten the bargain now that I have taken a closer look it is just about the same exact phone.

As underhanded as Apple was that style of retaining market share at any cost is something that is in the blood of these silicone valley pirates.

Wait for the new blackberry tour at least they are offering the best screen resolution ever

when they release their respective Summer blockbuster.

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Oilitradinginsider.blogspot.com you have come to the right place for oil futures trading.

I don't know if you guys have looked around but I have checked out my competitors and nobody that I can see gives you close to what I do. I am organic you do not simply get a bias post the technical pivots and off you go. I update that is waht makes the difference. Today Like yesterday I reacted to economics at the bottom 70.22 I told you exactly what I was doing 

I pinned the turnaround two days in a row and shared it with you. I did not get the bottom and my price of 70.37 was only that high because I took time to tell you guys so everyone had 70.4x

no excuses. If you are missing these entries either you are too busy or you are not using what I give you to your fullest advantage.  What other subscription does this  let alone  this inexpensively if you think you have seen one that compares send me the link.

A lot of guys can toss tech and economic data at you in finanspeak to impress I trade and teach the art and help others. I promised one price entry per day and some days you may get that

when i get on a stop adjust train where I kep the position for days just don't forget all the extras I give out other times.

I see I have regular readers who have not joined in Glendale heights Illinois for instance

It is nice to have fans but this gravy train will no longer be available . My web designer is from the Russian Federation and this site will be promoted and translated into Russian and German

I am hearing a week away I can't wait. 

Overnight trading is back and I can help but be bullish but I am going to try to position for the sell side with no risk I bought after the open 71.38 and flattened at 71.52 and now I am short 1 

at 70.5. Let us see where this takes us.

when the new site is out the $40 is over and it will no longer be available to the public without a subscription 

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bottom pickin' at the current low 71,22

The currencies look awful the british pound is suffering because of the UK retail data

the range from Globex has us as high as 71.75 to where we are now at 70.22 I may buy in here for a trade but will Move stop to even asap and take a half if I get it should I get stopped out 

the entry moves to 69.5

There is no way I could have gotten this one to you guys it did not hang out here long enough to finish typing but you know my position and intentions 

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unemployment udate

-608000  they were looking for 604  not a huge discrep.

the number however suggest a weak recovery in the economy but at least some recovery

oil reacts by ticking up .30 cents proving it won't take much to take it up 

move july buy reco up by a half point

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Rainy Thursday In New York

It is gloomy out we have intrinsically tracked oil  sleeping only 4 hours 

We are checking for any new data

 overnight argument stand 

wait for pricing out shortly

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2:36 AM quick update the Dax

The futures pick up and the DAX looks good on the onset and currencies turn into a sea of blue on my desktop. We pick-up 70.9 kind finally after beginning our trading at 6PM not until 2:36 Does it begin to pay. Stop is moved pass even to protect a quarter. Good night. Oil threatens to sideways trade

without help from a weaker dollar or a stronger market.

The most important inventory number which was bullish was also tempered by the fact that surpluses still are above the five year average.

Oil rallies up to 71.46 paying $560 bucks to the night owl. This all could have been accomplished by 9 if no typo snafu'd the first attempt to get long on a pull back.

the lesson is clear in overnight slow motion Quad Erat Demonstrandum(it is proven in latin)

when we get back to normal light speed tomorrow remember that at this point most of the news pares off and oil sits on the fulcrum of $70- weak dollar or up mkt.  moves scales to the rightand the converse is therefor also true. Sell the ranges and buy dips if more news breaks out we will weigh in and tell you. Many heads are better than one and if any members hears anything newsworthy regarding oil please share it with the group by commenting. 

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12:42 thursday morning

Well it is after midnight and the chart tells  it all and repeats the story from last night just pulls it in earlier. Oil open down to 70.80 up to 71.58 and back down to 70.92

Swiss rate decision and borrowing data lead the overnight prior to the Frankfurt Open 

the Dax can stimulate moves in crude and many 3 am moves can be traced directly to this barometer. The inventory was very bullish it pulled a host of bearish factors neutralized and defeated them for the session. Whatever you hear inflation fears have to be reckoned with

for in their absence Oil will lack it's normal punch. We may get a surprise lift from Rimm

My favorite tech giant after several companies like FEDEX and Best Buy helped stymie

the market I want to see the blackberry falter If that happens I will half my equity position and protect with puts on the balance because almost everyone I know has a blackberry and plans to get another. Oil has continued to battle albeit it has been beaten back a bit gives us one piece of data to just worry about inflation and the bull push will resume. Inflation fears are good for the market here someone should spread a rumor.

Say what you want about my methods today and many many days the results speak fro themselves. Today after EIA report we issue a buy .17 cents off the low and a sell 3 cents off the high. Half points could have been made from sell 1.5 points from the buy.

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5:01 Wednesday overnight coming and recap

How do you like me now? This morning I gave out pricing for july buy 68 Sell 71.25

After  inventories came out I revised buy to 69.17 it traded through twice and you definitely

had a chance to get in maybe after yesterday you guys got gun shy I have not gotten any reports how members performed I hope well. The high was 71.28 now with oil 70.87 5:07

in extended trading that is both sides called within the parameters and less than .25 cents which means you would not have gotten stopped and you should have made money.

We all saw the inventories were bullish and the market itself got a little better and the dollar got hit again. 

  For the overnight we try again we will wait until it reopens hope to buy on a dip and stop protect once it gets to even if it then gets ahead by a reasonable margin we will stop adjust to protect some profits so we are not working for free. The shot can be taken from either side with a little trading dexterity now 5:12 3 minutes to go it hasn't moved i 10 minutes and appears to be content to close here so you in 45 minutes.

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Back for the Overnight/taking off the remainder of the day

Inventories were bearish for gas bullish for Oil had they come bearish that would have done it and the correction would have been on. Without the S+P becomes the main factor and oil has been tracking it fairly closely. We told you to buy at 69.1x on the dip and our sell entry 

for now remains intact. we adjusted our buy in spot as soon as inventories came out and it traded down and off there more than once so money could have and should have been made.

If an news comes out that you think I should know about email me chrgr06@yahoo.com

Good luck You should be up on oil at least with that buy in last sale 70.41

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EIAFTERMATH

they came out but there was a draw and it was more than expected the  head fake  is in play 

as it dropped right to 69 the news is staring to settle in I bought low 69.17 for a trade I am not married take profits today. This market is unsteady the news is mostly bad and Oil has made a major move on sentiment and inflation fears I know that is not the whole equation but if you take it out you are going to lose some ground. The underlying truth about oil reliance and consumption still stands so longer term is higher without question once a new excuse surface this will be back to up. I gave a bearish stance I sell pops and buy dips today

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Wednesday

I have heard inventories are coming today. Yesterday's news about inflation has to abate 

for Oil to truly get back to its old self a bullish inventory report might do this. Oil has traded as high as 71.32 and as low as 69.6 early this morning. Mortgage numbers are down 15.8%

which is obviously not good news and what helped cause the pullback early this morning. I really don't think wall street is going to like the "slap on the wrist" that Obama is doling out visa vie his new regulations it may in the long run be a  good thing  so far not so good on that one. I may go across the board and lighten my secondary account this morning at least what I added yesterday just to keep risk in check. Now the FED-EX number spread a further penumbral shroud.  As far as the overnight play goes I stayed up until I saw 70.9  moved stopped a quarter away which obviously got hit. It was a winner but not the home run we were hoping to see but not much looks good right now member pricing out shortly.

I will trade until 12 today check in with me via email near entry points as I will be monitoring news very closely until then.

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Overnight tuesday draws nigh to a close set-up on

The chart to the left shows where I called it a night with my position play once again in place.

I won't go through the play again I have clued all members including our newest "Rob" via email as to the how's and why's. I urge everyone to do it consistently and you will see a huge bump to your bottom line it does not work out every night but with a tiny bit of skill the risk is always minimal or zero and 

we score at least once a week on it. If you do the Math you can pull in what some people make in a year just doing this but it is like a second job not everyone needs the extra cash me I can't get enough. Also As I have said if you are a little timid trading oil this is a great place to start 

as it moves so much more deliberately staying in place for 20 thirty minutes at a stretch before an order comes in and moves it. Usually the currencies or futures move first so you can actually move faster most times and in this vehicle that is stark contrast to the day session.

Oil is currently 70.36 We bought 69.96 move stop to 69.99 cover commissions and we will see where it lands tomorrow. Just because I am trying from the buy side does not mean you cannot take the same shot from the sell just stick to the rules of the game. Until tomorrow members

we had a rough buy entry today but if you stayed with me it all got better. I hope everyone did

I truly want everyone here to make money.

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one other note-inflation fears subside bad for oil

I was inadvertantly flattened out for 17 cents and oil has dropped below 70 I have a bid at 69.8 

the daily low-I am given a little pause by the inflation figures as much of oils advance had this in the periphery. I will take the good luck and buy again using the gift as my risk parameter.

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overnight update

Open-out cry closed at 70.47  oil went down to 70.03 on the overnight As you can see from the chart I bought and remain long at 70.05 I hope to keep this but have moved stop to even I am due for an overnight score as I have said before I hope it goes straight up but I am sure I will not be that lucky it seems you have to be tested.

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Tuesday 6-15 -09 Overnight

the chart to the left is look at the dow jones industrial average it is a daily chart depicting specifically the explosive rise in prices since early march also it has a trend line drawn in and today's drop has not only recrossed the 200 day moving average but is now at the support.

I entered a lower buy entry today and apologize to any member that did not read the posting 

I sent it out when it was around the 71.12 area and the chart shows that it went back up through the entry price by the time I uploaded and printed the chart. If we near an entry and you are not sure email before and I will tell you if it is still valid. Typically my entries are longer range looks that are 

good for the day but there was news out today first good then bad. On my update post I changed both my stance for the day plus lowered my entry. It went far lower than this as my second entry was in the 70.8x area and as we know the bottom was 69.8. Anyone that had a bad trade I did not just forget about them and move on -no I regrouped created a new strategy 

and posted it before I executed it twice for profitability. I told members to wait three pips in the opposite direction we vaguely identified the are to be close to 70.xx and reco positioning with a buy order. If you came in like me your price would have been close to 70.12 it then proceeded to go back to 70.5 then 70.89 and back down and up one more time both trades were

easy 30-50 which should have more than made up for the stop out-I know all traders are busy and I am not sure if you were with me on this play but I don't just forget about you after a trade goes south in fact that is when you find me working and making adjustments more often than not.

We are back in the overnight after the overall market party was ruined by the industrial production numbers. Carl larry just came out and called for 85 dollar oil then lower to 60 then to 100 by year's end.. Mulva  of Conoco also predicted higher prices for oil  and a better economy and higher natural gas as well.

Overnights are getting more predictable I am once again overdue for being on the correct 

side when it all said and done by 11:30 I hope to long stop adjusted with zero risk taking a free

shot and hopefully wake up to a morning like this one except be long 1 contract up $1690-$2000 6:00 away we go

touched on natural gas as well

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Secondary Account Notes /last trade in CL july 70.43

this is a chart with 18 minutes to go before the break it looks like they are going to settle it on the down side as we move`into the overnight. Overnight positioning 

will be posted an hour or so after re-open-cCurrently just got short one for a quick trade i will be flat by the close

Once again the market has pulled back 300 points over the last two days-As you guys know I have a not so hard and fast rule but a guid- line I have been following since early march

Things are a little different because even with the pull back most of the equities I have acquired are still double the price they first were when I started the buy program RIMM was 40 now 80

AKS was 9 now 18.xx was way lower etc etc. Also the many calls I sold on moves up have expired or are about to expire leaving me with significant long position in fact after expiration the account has burgeoned to a level that has given me pause a bit. I added like clockwork again buying BAC at 12.77 and lower and F  and AKS at what today I would consider very slick entries but as I step back and realize where I started buying the entries do not appear so slick

at all. Now I am long- long enough for now and probably will make a slight strategy adjustment.  The usual talk has surfaced as it does every time it goes down like this "we will revisit the march lows" it is unlikely but all the same the prices now are lofty on the next push up I will re-protect the secondary account by selling July and august calls against long equity positions and after major up moves by either the VIX or S+P puts for a systemic blanket over the entire portfolio. I remind members that have been joining me on this strategy to keep things in perspective and make smart moves like some call selling on up days. 

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It traded down to 69.8- if you are day trading and in oil you can make a nice living day trading we touched on this before you wont get the exact bottom but more than likely you make at least a quarter and stress less using a minute chart wait for the vehicle to turn at least thee pips in the other direction after making an obvious turn then buy or sell depending the bottom so far here is 69.8 we waited the three pips and got in at 70.12 now we sell at 70.49

for a quick $370 we noticed it plateau  it may go higher we could have just stop adjusted as we were ahead but since we have been doing nothing but trading for $370 is not bad for roughly 6 minutes of work

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update the floor is a trap door

you have to trade this I sold my .40 at .80 I will take another long shot low 70.xx

same play wait for turn three pips and buy in Market is suffering from fear and loathing

so bargains can be had  but if you see a quick profit there is no reason you should not take it

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the turnaroud

We  missed the bottom at 70.27

but got in at 70.40 as if you see the chart and read the previous post 

I said we can buy after the turn the bottom was difficult to see as the sheer gravity of the sell off was going to take this thing past logical entries. 

I am hearing from some members that were stopped out on the first entry hopefully you got in on this one and you are at least even

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1:13 update-Bids cancelled checking for news

i moved my entry down bought and sold as this looks very unsteady Im not sure if news is out yet but I am checking I have not been stopped yet but I have been getting out even for .20 cents as I said you can usually do wherever you buy at least once if you offer. I am looking to buy in and hold My next entry in 70.05 on the counter trend or if it turns back up I will get on board after it turns something may be out right now some news coming out now.

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